Trump Warns Iraq Over AI-Maliki Return, Flags Iran Oil Risks

U.S. political tensions with Iraq have sharply escalated after former President Donald Trump issued a stark warning to Baghdad, saying that Washington could withdraw its support if Nouri al-Maliki is reinstated as Iraq’s prime minister. Trump publicly criticised al-Maliki’s past leadership, arguing that his previous tenure contributed to instability, economic hardship and sectarian division in Iraq. Trump’s message, posted on social media, stated that if al-Maliki were to return to the country’s top political post, the United States would no longer assist Iraq’s government, leaving the country “with zero chance” of success without U.S. backing.

Key Highlights

• Trump cautions Iraq against reinstating al-Maliki, warning of reduced US support and diplomatic fallout.
• US raises concerns over Iran’s growing influence in Iraq, citing risks to regional stability and oil markets.

Al-Maliki, a prominent figure in Iraqi politics and leader of the State of Law Coalition, was nominated by Iraq’s largest Shiite bloc following the failure of the incumbent prime minister to form a government. Despite his controversial record—including accusations that his policies favored sectarian interests and contributed to political fragmentation—he remains a powerful and polarising force in the country’s political landscape.

Trump and other U.S. officials have expressed concern that a return to power for al-Maliki could strengthen ties between Iraq and Iran, a key regional rival of the United States. The administration has warned against empowering Iran-aligned factions within Iraq’s government, framing the leadership decision as having significant implications not only for bilateral relations but also for regional security dynamics.

Also Read: UN Elects Former Iraqi President Barham Salih as Refugee Chief

The warning reflects broader tensions in Middle Eastern geopolitics, where Iraq often navigates competing influences from both Washington and Tehran amid ongoing efforts to stabilise its post-war political order.